DISQUS

TIM: Short Selling Stocks: Plays Galore Limited By Absurd Pattern Day Trading Rule aka SEC Reign Of Terror

  • Mike · 1 year ago
    TIM has an annualized Sharpe of 3 in its 5 months of trading.
  • X · 1 year ago
    Tim, I was asking about your input on REED because I was contemplating shorting it but I was tied up with other positions that tied up my capital.
  • Brendan Long · 1 year ago
    How much money did you lose today Mr. Sykes?
  • Mike · 1 year ago
    Brendan, he made money today I think.
  • timsykes · 1 year ago
    up about $40 on the day, not worthy of a timometer
  • Brendan Long · 1 year ago
    I lost some pocket change....
    Way oversold on the Walmart news - I wouldn't short this - it's going back home
    Your site is fun to read - I laughed at the cake with 25 on it- but I'm long on COT and for good reason.
    Look at the charts guys
  • Tony Ellis · 1 year ago
    How are we going to play LUNA?
  • Neil · 1 year ago
    anyone have thoughts on LEH?
  • Mike · 1 year ago
    Neil, here's a good commentary on Lehman, http://muffmarkets.com/hbs05/2008/03/19/enterin...
  • Neil · 1 year ago
    down since that article. News out tonight. I read it as serious dilution but curious about what other people think.
  • SmallCapSlingshot · 1 year ago
    Regarding COT. I think near term it could pull back some before marching on to $5.45, so Tim and Brendan are correct. Just playing on different teams....
  • InvestorsLive.com · 1 year ago
    Great Blogging Tim, keep up the good work. I enjoy the chart scans, usually I just take them and put them on my 1 minute charts waiting for a breakout or breakdown to short on. I tend to play higher volume stocks for fear of getting stuck in the lower volume ones, however our strategies to cross because I played quite a few of the ones you're watching ... People will learn and learn what to look for in a chart.. for a lot of people this is a very hard concept - but the way you're show and telling it ... it simplifies things
  • Gary · 1 year ago
    Timmy...your short might have been to soon! COT

    "Cott Announces New $250 Million Asset-Based Lending Credit Facility"

    http://money.cnn.com/news/newsfeeds/articles/ma...

    Think there will be a STRONG morning spick and it will stay there. Let me know if I am reading this wrong.
  • Gary · 1 year ago
    The above is a typo...should be SPIKE> Sorry about that.
  • timsykes · 1 year ago
    can't predict overnight news, now i just cut my losses quickly. next!
  • Vince Parker · 1 year ago
    Yes Tim, I stand corrected on "whites of their eyes" which I confused with "the shot heard around the world" but it seems a common mistake. I found this in a news article :

    "January 6, 2006

    Thank God our current Senate Democrats weren't at Lexington and Concord! They would have run the other way instead of waiting to see the "whites of their eyes" as the lobster coats approached.

    If the patriots had held their powder at Lexington and Concord, this nation might still be under a monarchy. (Well, in a way we do still have King George in power, but that's another story.)"
  • Mike · 1 year ago
    Why did REED go from $2 to $4+? Anyone?
  • timsykes · 1 year ago
    mike do some research on this site, all my biggest gains come from these kind of crappy stock runups...reasons don't matter
  • Mike · 1 year ago
    Thanks for your reply.

    Reasons matter to you if it's earnings though, right?

    If reasons don't matter at all then shouldn't it just be a systematic strategy of shorting any micro cap stock that exponentially gained and then experiences its first down close?
  • Mike · 1 year ago
    I"d rather short REED now if it ran up on say a Dan Gartman newsletter pick then if it ran up on a signed new contract.
  • Dan · 1 year ago
    Anyone in tma over night looks like it will be up huge tom. Any thoughts
  • ViciousChicken · 1 year ago
    Could have been something as simple as the new VP announcement bringing some visibility to the stock and a bunch of brand-familiar investors buying into a stock they knew nothing about (hey man, have you tried their cherry cola? far out!) Disclosure: I have never tasted a REED product and don't even know if they make cheery cola, but neither do most people that bought into the hype.

    I'm not a trader (maybe a trader-wannabe, as Tim so eloquently put), but I have to imagine in this business, as opposed to value investing, or investing on base knowledge, you have to find a line between doing the right amount of research, and taking a chance within the window available. I found REED on a chance and did about a half hour of research before I considered moving on it..

    Anyway, enough about this, back to my total ignorance of how to trade- turns out TMA made the announcement tonight that I expected last thursday (they managed to gather up the required $1.35B). It's around $1.22 right now, and I expect it to shoot up to $2 (or considerably more) before "reason returns". What is the best way to play this? Do I put a pre-market order in for some shares and set a trailing stop (I can't watch it all day), or will my pre-market order come in much higher then the current price, and seriously reduce my profit, or even potentially cause a loss? WWTD?
  • ViciousChicken · 1 year ago
    Damn I write too slow! I missed two mikes and a dan by the time I hit the post button!!
  • timinhumboldt · 1 year ago
    I got turned onto this guy after he sold me on GS at 151. Ive made back all my losses!
    Yes ....20 sessions $69,150.19 profits 74 Wins 7 losses 2 Break even go to http://www.ttthedgefund.blogspot.com
  • Oliver · 1 year ago
    Neil, I have an opinion on LEH.

    They want to sue something for $250 mn. The sued company claims that the documents are all fake. I dont really care what the other company is but trying to get $250 mn seems absurd to me. I think a company that has nothing to lose will only do so. So my opinion is that there is a possibility of them experiencing something similar to bear sterns.

    But as Tim always says, this is gambling and could just not happen as well.
  • EasyStockAlerts.com · 1 year ago
    would you short COT today?
  • timinhumboldt · 1 year ago
    TTThedgefund is the hottest blog on the web. This guy was born for these weird times. They killed with live timestamped trades...finally real proof from a really smart guy who understands the day to day of this crazy market. Im totally back from disaster the last three months. TTThedgefund will get you the money you need today...live.
  • AjedrezMan · 1 year ago
    How do you reserve hard to borrow shares?